The Bangor Daily News from Bangor, Maine • 28

Jkq Bohgor Daily News Thursday June 5 1980 business and finance S02H2RSET mm-: it i v- 5 $20000 in total your food is 15 percent or -015 of those dollars i 7 1 Then multiply each personal category weight by the amount that item increased according to official CPI figures If your food weight is 15 percent or 015 multiply that by 74 because food costs rose by 74 percent With housing expenses multiply your housing weight by 12 not the official CPI figure of 17 unless you bought' home during the period The Bureau of' if' Labor Statistics said 12 percent is 4 more accurate measure of qow rauclv fuel utilities and other expenses no( 1 associated with home purchases actual- 1 ly rose Merrill Lynch said u' Finally add up all of the personally adjusted category figures in the 4-- preceding step and that may be lower than the official CPI but still hlgheC t-than you would like If so Merrill Lynch-said 'check those expenditures that flation hit the hardest and see if you can make cutbacks there putationslo determine how theinflation racket pinches him or her First the consumer needs to collect the latest date on the CPI and Its seven com-: ponents from the Bureau of Labor Statistics The statistics most recently have claimed that the annual CPI rose 147 percent for the year through March1 The food and beverage component was' up 74 percent housing was up 17 percent transportation was up 23 percent apparel and upkeep were up 71 percent medical care rose 112 percent entertainment was up 85 percent and the was up 84 per-cent' Using canceled checks charge and cash receipts and other records determine how much you spent in those 12 months on each of the CPI categories and total those expenditures Merrill Lynch then advises sumers to each category by dividing the total spent in that area by the total expenditure figure For example if you spent $3000 on food and Dow gain is 2-month best Welcome to Brewer The consumer price index referred to as the CPI is a faulty indicator of -overall increases and decreases in the cost of living according to Merrill Lynch Pierce Fedner and Smith Inc The damage done to the pocketbook may be less than one think? especially as the price of food clothing energy and other items climb month after month according to the investment counselors Merrill Lynch said that the CIP is pot determined by what the consumer actually buys The most commonly all-urban CPI only attempts to measure spending patterns of the average urgan consumer and certain assumptions on which it is based are considered out of date Merrill Lynch said the CPI is calculated by comparing prices of alihost 400 goods and services with prices the month before and the year before but the index that consumers purchase the same items each month as they did in the early 1970s before the days of energy shortages and doubledigit inflation The CPI also assumes Merrill Lynch said that consumers spend the same proportion of income on those goods and services as they did in the latter part of the last decade Consumer buying is not static and when the price of beef is high for example Merrill Lynch said consumers witch to chicken or other cheaper protein sources And as energy costs have risen many consumers have switched to more fuel-efficeint cars better weatherized their homes and otherwise become energy-conscious Merrill Lynch said the CPI ignores the fact that consumers adjust spending patterns to cope with economic realities and it therefore can overstate the actual rate of inflation The CPI is an index of consumption and does not count what is spent on income taxes social security taxes ret-prement plans life insurance and savings and these omissions Merrill Lynch said can further distort the general rate of inflation Economists say the CPI assumes that consumers refinance their homes every month when in reality the average home changes hands every seven or eight years and most mortgage payments remain the same over long periods of time so when mortgage rates and housing prices rise as they did in the past year the CPI exag- ferates inflation for most people the lerrill Lynch release said Merrill Lynch said the consumer who is interested can make his own com- Representing the German firm were (second from right) Lorenz Thoelen and Manfred Kingelhoeffer (right) At left is Arthur Johnson of the Action Committee of 50 (NEWS Photo by Mickey Blanchette) Gov Joseph Brennan (second from left) welcomed Lemf order Metallwaren a German auto parts manufacturer to the Bangor area Wednesday at a pressconference at the Hilton Inn The firm is purchasing the Pyr-A-larm J) building in' the Brewer East-West Industrial Park 65 and Texaco to 36'4 All are tfoih Zr ponents of the Dow average Investors also were heartened Chase Manhattan Morgan Guaranty and Marine Midland lowered prime lending rate to 13 percent from 14- -percent The prime stood at 20 percent: about five weeks ago German company buys building NEW YORK (UPI) voters New banks and peddlers sparked speculation in oil takeover and gold issues Wednesday and sent the Dow Jones industrial average 1425 points higher its best gain in more than two months Heavy trading particularly in oil stocks got a boost from news that Indiana Standard had tested successfully a natural gas well in the Overthrust Belt in Wyoming Californians encouraged investors when they rejected Proposition 11 which would nave tagged a 10 percent surtax on oilcompany profits Money derived from the surtax was to be used for mass transportation -As a result the Dow Jones which lost 358 points Tuesday closed at 85802 in the biggest advances since it soared 3072 points April 22 California Standard rose to 74 Exxon 2 to With the interest rates dropping in--' stitutions have become more active So! have arbitragers because takeover situations have arisen with the lower UK: terest rates Gold prices soared on international exchanges reflecting the declining interest rates and the ing dollar The New York Stock Exchange index climbed 113 to 6424 and the price of a-: increased 57 cents Advances routed declines 1139 to 384 among the issues traded at 4 pmEDT year under the management of John West the former plant manager for Pyr-A-Larm Brennan commended Borg Warner parent firm for its cooperation with the State Development Office and praised the efforts of the Action Committee of 50 the Maine Development Foundation and local officials for the effort in attracting the German parts manufacturer to Brewer The governor said Lemforder will be pleased with the work ethic a work for a He said that jobs dignity to the human Klingelhoeffer said the company was happy to be in Brewer and Thoelen said he was impressed with the people and their work in this area The work force is expected to be about 20 percent skilled and machine operators and assembly line workers -The company is hiring only 15 workers during the first phase of manufacturing By early 1981 the Company will hire 50 i more people for the steering linkage parts and 45 people for another phase of manufacturing rubber-bonded parts for engine mounts and shock absorber support plates The final phase of hiring will see 30 employees hired for the manufacture of ball joints This third phase is expected toward the end of 1981 Following a press conference in a cramped Hilton Inn room local dignitaries and company officials gathered for a private party and dinner to celebrate the purchase Lemforder Metallwaren a German firm which manufactures steering mechanism parts for Volkswagen was welcomed to the Bangor area Wednesday afternoon by Gov Joseph Brennan For its first US venture the German firm will locate in the former Pyr-A-Larm building in the East-West Industrial Park in Brewer Lemforder will spend $22 million for the plant and land and in the next year or longer will invest $5 million in machinery necessary to manufacture such parts as collapsible steering posts and rack-and pinion tje- rods Manfred Klingelhoeffer who along with Lorenz Thoelen represented Lemforder on Wednesday said the company would hire 150 to 180 employees when the plant is in full operation later this NEWS supervisor at seminar be more attractive to an increasingly visual-minded audience Various apa proaches to newspaper design front traditional to experimental wilt be discussed and their effectiveness evaluated The program will coverlhe appearance and packaging of the entire newspaper including news and RESTON Va Phillip A Ward of Brewer dispatch supervisor for the Bangor Daily News is one of 36 persons from daily newspapers in the United States Canada and South America attending a newspaper design seminar at the American Press Institute here The seminar which began June 2 will explore ways in which newspapers can Recession expected to cause a 24 drop in Maine income in '80 according to an April article in magazine It is uncertain whether a recession alone can reduce price inflation to any:" great extent the costs of extracting' petroleum and other raw materialswill inevitably increase Restrictions on cheaper imports and other federal bailouts of noncompetitive industries drive up prices of their products An- nual rises in industrial productivity have been very low or even negative during the last thirty years housing and automobiles always the first to be affected by recession already have slumped drastically Although there is considerable argument over how long and deep the recession will be there appears to be little likelihood of a crash similar to the one we endured fifty years ago reforms in stock market operations and the banking system made during the 1930s as well as institution of such as unemployment compensation Social Security and public assistance have mitigating effects on business declines cent) and construction (-1 percent) and rises in transportation and utilities (5 percent) finance insurance and real estate 4 percent) miscellaneous services (4 percent) health services (3 percent) state and local government (1 percent) and wholesale and retail trade 04 percent) (These projections will be revised in June The present recession has been induced primarily by tight monetary and fiscal policies imposed in an attempt to reduce rapid price inflation Sales of machinery (03 percent) furniture (02 prcent) and other durables (30 percent) Among the non-durables employment in leather goods will fall 9 percent foods (-8 percent) textiles (-2 percent) apparel (-2 percent) and rubber and plastics (-2 percent) while there will be increases in chemicals 4 percent) printing (1 percent) and other nondurables (24 percent) Among the non-manufacturing industries there will be declining employment in federal government (-7 per NOTE: The following Is an excerpt from the Maine National Business Indicators newsletter lor May on how the recession the economy is entering will affect Maine The New England Economic Project foresees a drop of 24 percent in real per capita income in 1980 followed by a 13 percent rise in 1981 NEEP also predicts a rise of 02 percent in total non-agricultural employment in 1980 and a 13 percent increase in 1981 According to their projections total manufacturing employment in 1980 will dip 23 percent (durables will rise 13 percent while nondurables will decline 43 percent) and non-manufacturing employment as a whole will increase 12 percent Among durable goods industries there will be declines in lumber (-8 percent) fabricated metals (-4 percent) and stone clay and glass (-2 percent) and increases in electrical machinery (10 percent) transportation equipment (9 percent) non-electrical v4t '4 4 New York stock exchange MARKET HIGHLIGHTS AMEX 10 most active NYSE 15 most active 17 27- 14 7304 2750 2356 OuqL0 207 DuQLpf 2 73 DuqL0 2 31 ps 4 2 90 25HI IM 2 10- 5 Ml) ptt 4 21 7- The Market In Brief NT Stack (ickM(i hsts CMwWrtU IiUaf VeMd)T Im 4 it 34 wt I -vi I nU I 6 i rA ea NYSE top gainers losers GAINERS most active ChmoSP Charter I Chari pM6S Charier ChasFd 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