The Miami Herald from Miami, Florida • 5

f-2 Monday June I I9S7 The Miami Herald SA safe from a hurricane? Better think again Tropical depression weakens Between occasional heavy showers South Florida's weather was great particularly compared to the Northeast where record temperatures pushed into the 90s Although small craft in the Keys were warned to stay in port Sunday forecasters said the storm had become diffuse and was not expected to The week-old tropical depression that brought scattered thundershowers and blustery breezes to South Florida this weekend became very weak Sunday night and drifted slowly toward the Gulf of Mexico By Sunday night the center was just south of Key West with maximum sustained winds of about 15 miles an hour and gusts up to 25 mph ping-ponged around the Gulf of Mexico threatening Alabama then Tampa before finally coming ashore in Mississippi Before Elena sputtered out hundreds of thousands had evacuated With continued good luck that sort of inconvenience will be the worst that South Florida suffers before this hurricane season officially ends Nov 30 If so those who spent some time preparing for the worst will put the storm shutters in the back of the garage and the candles back in the closet and start using the canned food and the flashlights And those who prepare can just go about their business But South Florida's luck could run out this year This could be the year of the Big One Don't say you warned in Coral Gables would quickly change their opinion if faced with 130-mile-per-hour winds and an 18-foot wall of water Such an experience definitely cures apathy" So far meteorology is too imprecise a science to say for sure if 1987 will be the year that South Florida gets mauled by the Big One the storm that leaves Key Largo or Miami Beach or Fort Lauderdale covered with tangled debris and bloated bodies Atmospheric scientist William Gray a professor at Colorado State University is working on the problem of prediction He has had remarkable success over the past two seasons forecasting overall hurricane activity based on climate indicators This century there have been HURRICANES from IA a little less After all it has been a generation since the last direct hit by a major hurricane north of the Keys Hurricane King in 1950 In 1960 Hurricane Donna battered the Keys but merely grazed the rest of South Florida and Betsy in 1965 did the same In 1964 Cleo caused more than $128 million in damage Only once in the past 20 years have warnings been raised in southeastern Florida north of the Keys and that was for wimpy Hurricane David in 1979 who have experienced the fringes of a storm may think they know about hurricanes" says Neil Frank the departing director of the National Hurricane Center statistical forecasting Last year he correctly predicted a quieter-than-average season 1987 prediction is due to be released today But even Gray claim to know where the individual hurricanes will wander While the paths of hurricanes these days are easy to pinpoint they are notoriously hard to predict With the help of satellites and reconnaissance planes forecasters can say with precision where a storm is Where it goes next is another matter if we could guarantee 24 advance warning that just enough Frank worries And in 24 hours a storm can confound every prediction For glaring example there is Hurricane Elena which over die Labor Day weekend of 1985 about eight tropical storms about five of which will strengthen into hurricanes Gray is seeking to improve on just two years (1907 and 1914) without hurricanes in the Atlantic One year 1969 there were 12 hurricanes On average there are Reports of risky air travel called nonsense everything until Friday June 5th From Herald Wire Services WASHINGTON Deputy Transportation Secretary James Burnley said Sunday that critics who say the air traffic control system is becoming dangerously overloaded are speaking and Burnley defended the Reagan administration against charges that deregulation has allowed the airlines to crowd the skies while failing to staff air traffic control centers adequately The summer flying season begins today Burnley engaged in sharp debate with Sen Frank Lautenberg D-NJ chairman of the Senate appropriations subcommittee on transportation on Face the Nation being faced with an urgent matter now because of the increase in get a maximum landing arrangement at the airports That helps expedite travel and helps alleviate some of these problems that are frustrating travelers we have to recognize that there is a trade-off between doing that and maintaining an adequate margin of safety" Air Line Pilots Association President Henry Duffy said a poll of the 40000 pilots shows that the chance of a midair collision has become their No 1 concern that tells me they think the air traffic control system is breaking down too Duffy said on This Week With David Brinkley FAA Administrator Donald Engen appearing on ABC said the aviation system is safe despite increasing reports of near misses traffic but a pattern that goes back over five years of an unwillingness to get into the system to manage it Lautenberg said Burnley responded: being said by a few folks who want to get on television and the front pages is scary It also and the good most recent remarks are a perfect example is gibberish nonsense and National Transportation Safety Board Chairman James Burnett also appearing on the program assailed the Federal Aviation Administration for refusing to limit the number of flights in rush hours saying: "1 want to make very clear I think there is cause for He said the FAA was taking the wrong approach to the problem are trying to down to $100000 Bakker says Oral representations cannot he relied upon as correctly stating representations of the Developer Ft correct representations make reference to the documents required lv section 7 lb 5c Florida Statutes to he furni-hed hy a Developer to a buyer or lessee- FAST EQUITY LOANS Meister Financial Group Inc Dad 940-3803 Broward Call Collect 1880 NE 183 StUc Mtg Broker Jerry Falwell an independent Baptist who said the ministry needed to raise $7 million by the end of May to remain in business The results of the fund-raising effort were not expected to be released until Tuesday On Sunday the Rev Sam Johnson told worshipers at Heritage USA theme park in South Carolina that both the Bakkers and Falwell "are our friends" The Bakkers the vision for this place Jerry Falwell was invited here by Jim Bakker not the question not here to choose up sides question is on the Lord's the charismatic PTL preacher said have to divide your ry at $11 million while PTL officials say he received $16 million last year and his wife Tammy Faye received $300000 not including perks this be a holy war I am declaring a cease-fire and a he told the magazine just going to step out of the arena made a mistake by ever stepping out and trying to tell our side of the Bakker stepped down from the organization he founded in March after admitting to a one-night sexual encounter in Clearwater Fla in 1980 He agreed to pay church secretary Jessica Hahn $265000 to keep the incident quiet He turned PTL over to the Rev NEW YORK (AP) Evangelist Jim Bakker says his family has only about $100000 in cash despite reports that he and his wife were paid nearly $2 million last year by the PTL ministry In an interview published In the June 8 edition of Time magazine Bakker also said he regretted making public comments about the controversy swirling around his troubled television ministry Money he said is his most pressing problem have about $50000 cash to my name and my daughter has $50000 saved from her music work which probably loan me if I need it" Bakker told the magazine Bakker estimated his 1986 sala WE GO TO ALL LENGTHS FOR PERFECTION! 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