The Miami Herald from Miami, Florida • 567

Campaign The Miami Herald Sunday September 6 1987 Candidates inspire party confidence 28A By ROBERT BOYD Herald Washington Bureau WASHINGTON The 1988 presidential campaign shifts into higher gear after Labor Day and both political parties are looking at the road ahead with a mixture of fear and frustration With less than 150 days to go until the first national convention delegates are selected neither the Republicans nor the Democrats have found a presidential candidate who makes their hearts pound And whoever is nominated neither party is confident that it will win the White House on Election Day Democrats are unsure that any of the eight little-known candidates seeking to carry their banner can bring back the millions of disaffected Democrats and independents who voted for Ronald Reagan in 1980 and 1984 Republicans are worried that their colorless front-runner Vice President George Bush and his five rivals can't match Reagan's personal appeal and be able to repeat his triumphs especially after the recent troubles Opinion polls show that a majority of Americans currently intend to vote for a Democratic president in 1988 But political experts say there is more uncertainty surrounding this campaign than any election since 1952 Most presidential elections are decided on pocketbook issues and the questionable health of the economy burdened by massive federal budget and trade deficits adds to the confusion recovery has already gone on so long I don't see how it can last another 14 months" said Ted Van Dyke a Democratic strategist the economy is weak we can elect any Democrat who have three Historic trends are also ominous for the GOP No party has held the White House for more than eight years since World War II and Kevin Phillips a conservative analyst believes the conservative tidal wave that washed Reagan into the White House is ebbing conservative movement is some 20 to 25 years old now and the odds are high that it's already seen its greatest Phillips said Here is a summary of the 1988 outlook from the point of view of each party: Alexander Haig Jr AGE: 62 CAREER: Retired Army general Former supreme allied commander of NATO Former secretary of state under Ronald Reagan and White House chief of staff for Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford Employed as business consultant PERSONAL: Married Three children Lives in McLean Va Robert Dole AGE: 64 CAREER: Minority leader US Senate Elected to Senate in 1968 Served eight years in US House Former chairman of GOP National Committee Former nominee for vice president Served in Kansas House of Representatives PERSONAL: Married Lives in Russell Kan social issues Although he is ahead in almost every poll Bush's nomination is not taken for granted by Republican professionals even in his own camp Many Democrats assert that he would be the easiest opponent to beat because he is so closely tied to the Reagan administration and because of his image as a weak leader and uninspiring candidate problems are different A master legislative tactician he has yet to demonstrate that he can stir enthusiasm among voters outside Washington His previous presidential campaign in 1980 was a dud If he fails to score an early victory in Iowa Dole lacks a base to fall back on and may be out of the race Kemp has finally begun to rally the right wing of the party behind his candidacy He was helped by the withdrawal of former Sen Jack Kemp AGE: 52 CAREER: US representative Elected to House in 1970 Chairman of House Republican Conference As a professional football quarterback led the Buffalo Bills to two league titles PERSONAL: Married Four children Lives in Bethesda Md Pat Robertson AGE: 57 CAREER: Hosted 700 Club a religious television show Baptist minister Founded Christian Broadcasting Network Founder and chancellor of CBN University Ran company that made audio components PERSONAL: Married Four children Lives in Virginia Beach Va Simon of Illinois and Rep Patricia Schroeder of Colorado are lagging REPUBLICANS In contrast to the Democratic contest the six-man Republican race has a shape The vice president is well out front pursued by Senate Republican Leader Robert Dole with Rep Jack Kemp of New York moving up in third place Back in the pack are former Gov Pierre du Pont of Delaware former Secretary of State Alexander Haig and the Rev Pat Robertson the former TV evangelist Like the Democrats however the Republicans are weakened by internal divisions The GOP is split among traditional conservatives who worry about balancing the budget economic populists who think low taxes are more important religious fundamentalists who care passionately about abortion school prayer and other Pete du Pont AGE: 52 CAREER: Served two terms as governor of Delaware (1977-85) Served three terms in US House Served two years in Delaware House of Representatives Attorney Chairman of Hudson Institute PERSONAL: Married Four children Lives in Rockland Del George Bush AGE: 63 CAREER: Serving second term as vice president Former CIA director Served two terms in US House of Representatives from Texas Former chairman of GOP National Committee Ran oil-drilling equipment firm PERSONAL: Married Five children Lives in Washington DC Paul Laxalt of Nevada another conservative hero and the endorsement of archconservative Sen Jesse Helms' National Congressional Club However Phillips said he is about ability to mobilize many voters beyond the conservative movement stalwarts and grass-roots activists Neither Haig nor du Pont is making much headway although du Pont could pull off a surprise in Iowa or New Hampshire potential is a mystery The former evangelist who emphasizes his background as a businessman and educator has done remarkably well mobilizing religious fundamentalists in Michigan South Carolina and parts of Iowa and other states He operates outside normal political channels and his effectiveness be measured until the caucuses and primaries begin irirr ifiTT nrfmrnni at all stores Joseph Biden AGE: 44 CAREER: Third-term US senator from Delaware Chairs Judiciary Committee Former New Castle County Council member Attorney PERSONAL: Married Three children Lives in Wilmington Del Richard Gephardt AGE: 46 CAREER: Has served in US House from Missouri since 1976 Former chairman of the House Democratic Caucus Former St Louis alderman Attorney PERSONAL: Married Three children Lives in St Louis Albert Gore AGE: 39 CAREER: First-term US senator from Tennessee Served four terms in US House of Representatives Former reporter for The Tennessean in Nashville Operated small home-building business in 1970s PERSONAL: Married Four children Lives in Arlington Va Pat Schroeder AGE: 47 CAREER: Serving third term in US Senate from Colorado Lawyer Former legal counsel for Planned Parenthood Former law school instructor PERSONAL: Married Lives in Denver choose Texan Bruce Babbitt AGE: 48 CAREER: Served three terms as governor of Arizona Former Arizona attorney general Lawyer Former field representative for the Office of Economic Opportunity PERSONAL: Married Two children Lives in Phoenix Michael Dukakis AGE: 53 CAREER: Three-term governor of Massachusetts Served in Massachusetts House 1963-70 Attorney PERSONAL: Married Three children Lives in Boston Jesse Jackson AGE: 45 CAREER: Founder of Operation PUSH (People United to Save Humanity) Former national director of Operation Breadbasket Ran for president in 1984 Baptist minister PERSONAL: Married Five children Lives in Chicago AGE: 59 CAREER: First-term US senator from Illinois Served five terms in US House of Representatives Former newspaper publisher Was lieutenant governor of Illinois Served 14 years in state House PERSONAL: Married Two children Lives in Makanda III Libertarians DEMOCRATS The biggest problem apart from lacking a candidate with broad national appeal is the Sun Belt Party Chairman Paul Kirk has made it an article of faith that a Democrat cannot win the presidency without cracking the Republican stranglehold on the South and West But without Sen Sam Nunn of Georgia and former Sen Gary Hart of Colorado the two strongest vote-getters in the South and West Democrats face the prospect of being shut out again In interviews with Southern voters this summer political scientists found that those who have abandoned their party to vote for Republican presidential candidates are likely to do so again The test will come on Super Tuesday the 20-state round of primaries on March 8 The dilemma is that to get to Super Tuesday Democratic candidates must first run the icy gauntlet of Iowa and New Hampshire where liberal activists dominate the nominating process The kinds of messages that can win the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary next February sharp cuts in defense spending more social programs no more aid to the Nicaraguan contras are likely to turn off Southern voters said Alvin From executive director of the Democratic Leadership Council an organization of elected Democratic officials At this point the Democratic nomination is a jumble None of the eight declared or likely candidates has a clear lead A majority of Democrats responding to surveys this summer said they are undecided A tentative regional pattern has emerged: Gov Michael Dukakis of Massachusetts is strongest in the Northeast: Rep Richard Gephardt of Missouri in the Midwest and Sen Albert Gore Jr of Tennessee in the South The Rev Jesse Jackson is likely to sweep the black vote and could come out of the Southern primaries with more delegates than any of the white candidates Former Gov Bruce Babbitt of Arizona Sen Joseph Biden of Delaware Sen Paul as nominee SELECTED FLORSHEIM SHOES Complete style size and width selection not available SEATTLE (UPI) Ron Paul a one-time Republican congressman from Texas defeated American Indian activist Russell Means by 67 votes Saturday to become the anti-government Libertarian 1988 presidential candidate Nearly 400 delegates nominated Paul on the first ballot surprising many political watchers who thought the race would be closer Paul had 196 votes four more than needed to win Means received 129 votes followed by Jim Lewis of Connecticut with 43 and Harry Glenn of Indiana and Andre Marrou of Nevada each with three votes Fourteen delegates voted for the perennial favorite of the After Means declined to be nominated for vice president Marrou won the nomination on a noisy voice vote Paul a congressman from Houston from 1976 to 1984 is a 52-year-old obstetrician who broke with the Republican Party last winter saying he was frustrated that its conservative element had not fulfilled its promises of the early 1980s including a balanced budget The 47-year-old Means was a leader of the 71-day occupation of the reservation village of Wounded Knee in South Dakota By Friday the race had heated up and Means was criticizing Paul for being listed as a contributing author in a publication of the rightist John Birch Society FLORSHEIM THAYER MCNEIL HMlurim tin Hor-heim ollei liun tor VVonu-nmd Mon Ami rum Ixproxsiirdsind most minr rudiUircK honored Miami 155 East Flagler Street Dedeland Mall Coral Gablet: 272 Miracle Mile Ft Lauderdale- The Galleria Hollywood Hollywood Faatuon Canter Hollywood Mall a Watt Palm Beach Palm Beach Mall a Pompano Beach Pompano Square a Plantation Broward Mall a Boca Raton: Town Canter Paul.