The Los Angeles Times from Los Angeles, California • 34

A SPACE AGE WEAPON FRIDAY MORNING, NOVEMBER 3. 1967 6-PART New DA Aide Will 'Plot' Crime Before It Happens BY RON ELVSTOSS Tims Stiff Writer PREPAID FAMILY PLAN DRAWN Harvard Medical School Sets Pace on Insurance BY HARRY NELSON Times Medical Editor "Faith in the American way is why hilt and living beyond our means IATT WEINSTOCK Why Not Try the 'Give a Dog a Bad Name' Trick? problems existing In Los Angeles County, Younger said. "Belasco will analyze the reports and prepare summaries on the trends indicated by these crime statistics, applying his' findings to local conditions. One of Belasco's first assignments was to report on the incidence of crime as related to seasonal or monthly variations. Reports from past years showed that there will be an upsurge of homicide activity during the year-end holiday season, while, at the same time, there will be a leveling off of such other crimes against persons as forcible rapes and aggravated assaults.

By scanning the latest crime reports, Belasco determined that willful homicides reach a high peak during the warm months of July, August and September, followed by an even greater increase in December. "The summer months create a greater opportunity for mobility and personal contact," he said, "and December is the time for renewed associations and social contacts." According to Belasco, "an interesting distinction from the general increase in crimes against the person during the summer months is reflected in the case of negligent manslaughter, which consists largely of traffic deaths." He noted that in this category there is a leveling off process during the summer months, with an upward movement toward the end of the year, "probably brought about by dangerous driving conditions in the winter months." Belasco also found that the crime of forcible rape reaches its highest point during the summer months when, he explained, more time is spent outdoors and away from homes "providing a greater opportunity for such an offense to occur." Assaults Follow Pattern As for aggravated assaults, he slid this crime follows a pattern similar to that of rape. This is the type of Information Younger wants gathered for future feeding into computers. In the field of crime prevention, there is another area where Younger believes computers can be of great value. "The day is not too far off," he predicted, "when a judge can use computers-to determine whether a certain person should be placed on probation or incarcerated." If, according to Younger, a computer warns that a convicted person will commit another crime as soon as he is released, "we'll just have him locked up until he changes his ways." On the other hand, he said, "if the machine tells us that he is a good risk, we'll let him out on probation or parole." This alone, Younger said, should prevent most of the crimes now being committed by repeat Dist.

Atty. Evelle J. Younger has taken a unique step toward heading off what he anticipates will be a 55 increase in crime during the next decade. The Board of Supervisors recently approved his request to hire a research consultant, a kind of efficiency expert in the field of crime analysis. The position now is being filled by Aureo (Jim) Belasco, 44, who came to the district attorney's office from the State Department of Social Welfare, where he headed the administrative services section in the Los Angeles office.

His background also includes tenures as an assistant probation officer in San Diego County, a crime studies analyst for the State Department of Justice and an assistant research technician with the State Department of Corrections. Job Is to Anticipate Crime "Belasco's job," Younger said, "will be to help us to anticipate crime problems." The county prosecutor said the prospect of such a rapid increase in criminal activity "cannot be tolerated." For this reason, he said, law enforcement must become more effective and efficient in its crime prevention techniques. The answer, according to Younger, lies in the use of space age weapons. In other words, computers. "Some day, for example, we will put into a machine information about 100,000 burglaries," he explained.

"Then we will be able to push a button and ask, 'What makes a burglar, how old is he, what triggers him and what do we have to do to stop him from committing any more burglaries?" Younger envisions the time when the computer will help prevent a considerable number of crimes. "Right now," he said, "we are limited by our ability to feed information into the machines." But that's where Belasco comes in. "We have asked him to think 5, 10 and 15 years ahead so that we can come up with the right information with which to program the computers," Younger said. "If we can predict something before it occurs we can take the steps necessary to keep it from happening," he declared. Belasco's primary duties will be to research and analyze the social, psychological and economic factors influencing crime and the impact of statutes and court decisions upon criminal activity and the administration of justice.

A flood of statistical material for some time has been showered on law enforcement units here and elsewhere from many official agencies, foremost of which are the Federal Bureau of Investigation, which gathers crime figures nationwide, and the State Department of Justice's bureau of criminal statistics, which compiles crime data in California. But little has been done in the past to correlate the figures to the age will include all doctor visits, hospital coverage, home health service, nurses, outpatient psychiatry and maternity benefits. "The medical school must take on another kind of function, perhaps a more vital function, and that is really the total care of a group of patients so that one could look at it in terms of the model it may provide for other communities," Dr. Ebert says. The dean thinks that medical schools also should become much more involved in the problems of hospital cost and utilization and figure out ways to improve their efficiency.

Dr. Ebert's subject at Sunday's symposium will be "The Doctor Shortage?" He places a question mark after the title because he is not certain whether the shortage is real or whether it appears to be real because of the uneven concentration of doctors in geographical regions. The afternoon portion of the program will be devoted to social issues in medicine. The speakers include Dr. Roy O.

Greep, director of the Center for Human Reproduction and Reproductive Biology, "The Prevalence of Dr. Leona Baumgartner, visiting professor of social medicine, "The Changing Roles of Physician and Patient," and Dr. John H. Knowles, director of Massachusetts General Hospital, "The Hospital Revolution." Morning Session on Science The morning session will deal with science in medicine and includes the following faculty members: Dr. Francis D.

Moore, professor of surgery, and Dr. John P. Merrill, associate professor of medicine, "The Biology of Tissue Transplantation," and Dr. Sidney Farber, professor of pathology, "Cancer Research, Control and Care." The luncheon speaker will be Dr. Perry J.

Culver associate dean for admissions, "Tomorrow's Doctor." Assistant Dean Mason declares, "It's only 33 years until the 21st century, and I seriously question whether society is looking ahead, planning for the future. "For the most part it is in a reactive state waiting for air pollution to kill people or hospital costs to rise to fantastic heights so that a commission can be appointed to investigate the crisis." One purpose of the symposium, he said, is to show how medical schools can inject themselves into society and use their mighty resources to help prevent calamities. Plans for a prepaid family health insurance program which would assure high-quality care at a cost below a y' price are being worked out by the Harvard medical school in Boston. Medical schools, particularly Harvard, have long been recognized as citadels of quality care. But until recently most of them have steered wide of the practical problems of how the care can be gotten to the people.

"I challenge the long-held position that the social and public health problems of medical care what it costs, how it is distributed, how it is used are not problems which are appropriate for the medical school to examine and attempt to solve," says Dr. Robert H. Ebert, Harvard's dean. "My only concern is the lateness of the hour. The medical profession has been so slow to come to grips with these pressing social problems of medicine that the public may become increasingly impatient and seek more and more solutions via legislation.

Symposium Here Sunday This Sunday Dr. Ebert and seven of Harvard's top faculty members will be in Los Angeles to present a day-long symposium that will touch on some of the more important scientific and social issues in medicine. Title of the program, which will take place at the Ambassador, is "Medicine in the 21st Century." "Much of what will be said will be controversial to both physicians and laymen alike," says Bay ley F. Mason, the medical school's assistant dean for external affairs. "The faculty is not coming 3,000 miles to deliver platitudes." This is the first time that the medical school has ever held an out-of-town event open both to the health profession and interested laymen.

The idea originated with the Harvard Medical Alumni Assn. of Southern California. Dr. Robert W. "Gentry, a Pasadena surgeon and president of the association is in charge of arrangements.

Many New Concepts Harvard's prepaid medical insurance plan is only one of many new concepts which Dr. Ebert believes are fitting for a medical school. The plan initially will be done only on a pilot study basis using about 20,000 Boston residents who represent a cross section of the population. Although plans have not been completed, it is expected that cover The debate continues as to whether marijuana is harmful, addictive, a true narcotic and if the laws controlling its possession and use are too strict. I've never smoked it, feeling no need for that kind of stimulation.

I get enough kicks just viewing what goes on normally. But I know people who have. Some claim it creates a feeling of euphoria, even ecstasy. A musician once told me that after smoking a "muggles," as he called them, he reached for notes that probably weren't there. Others become ill.

All I know is that I don't like the sickeningly sweet smell of the stuff when someone has been smoking it. But there's no question that marijuana can have serious effects on young or immature people. And, ours being a label-conscious nation, one wonders if they would be discouraged from smoking it if it were called by its other names, hashish or bhang, which have rather evil, inscrutable connotations. To go a step farther, how about reaching all the way back to the days when a person who dabbled in any sort of drug was called a "dope fiend." If it made a dent in the consciousness of weak-willed young people it might be worth the try. Writer Malvin Wald was awakened the ether night by a strange sound and discovered that his electric toothbrush, which hadn't been working, had come to life.

Responding to this cry for attention in the middle of the night he did the only decent thing he brushed his teeth. The general uneasiness of the moment apparently has gone farther than is generally realized. George Janes was discussing the prospect of man's flight to the moon or another planet with a friend named Michael, 14, and Mike said he'd like to be one of the first to go. Asked why, he replied, "I don't like it down here any more." A letter to Rep. Tom Rees from an L.A.

firm expressing gratitude for the help received from the Small Business Administration states in part: "Many of us small manufacturers ATTRIBUTED TO REAGAN. NURSES New CSEA Militancy Analyzed I'm proud to be mortgaged to the THAT'S why I need that loan!" have gone into business on very little but an American Dream with little experience, less capital, and somehow managed to survive from day to day on a combination of the sheer guts of a combat Marine and the precious knowledge that, after all, Walt Disney started in a garage. "We are refused by banks, condescended to by factors, abused by salesmen, defamed by creditors, deluded by jobbers, and demolished by, buyers, but we desperately continue to muddle along." A nice sequence there. A householder who lives in the Orange County fire zone was asked how close the recent blaze came to his home. "Well, it didn't come close enough to toast marshmallows," he replied, "but the way the wind was blowing it could have." NOVEMBER THOUGHTS Backward, turn backward, oh time in your flight To June's coastal fog and a low fahrenheit.

CARYL MORYL It has been pretty well established by now, I hope, that GTO means Gran Turismo Omologato, a complicated Italian reference, and let's not get into that again, but people who own these models keep making up pet names for them. One lady thought the letters meant Gas Tires Oil. An Exeter, Calif, lady named Alyce informs, "Everybody knows it stands for Great Time Operator." And Norma of West Covina adds that since her husband is a leadfoot-ed type of driver she always refers to their 1966 GTO as "God Takes Over." Correction: A polka band at a recent European festival in San Fernando Valley did not play the "Horst Wessel" song, as reported. The first four notes were the same but it was actually a German folk song Pigeons strutting on the City Hall lawn seem to make it a point to stay near the sign stating, "Please Keep Off Newly Planted Grass." Prompting John Plake to wonder if the sign should have been lettered in pidgin English. For the mangled language file: In a playful mood, a fellow named George tickled the forearm of an office worker named Glenda, who exclaimed, can't stand for me to have that done to!" Sign on a dormitory window at UC San Diego: "There is no gravity.

The earth sucks," Sign on a camper on Ventura Hilton." NllteHlllll THEY GO UP, NOT DOWN BY HARRY BERNSTEIN Time Labor Editor School Proud BY LINDA MATHEJWS Timet Staff Writer Gov. Reagan and hospital nurses are in large part responsible for an increasing militancy of California state employes, according to rebels and loyalists in the California State Employes Assn. (CSEA). Leaders of AFL-CIO unions say the proposals of some CSEA members to drop their no-strike pledge stems from union activities which are more attractive to state workers than the actions of the more conservative CSEA. course the union activity has tended to jar some associations into new activities, but it is really a combination of factors involved," Sam Hanson, general manager of CSEA, said in an interview.

"Perhaps more than any one thing was the move by California nurses a year or so ago when they threatened mass resignations and won pay raises of 25 and more. "For years, the nurses were damn subservient to The Establishment. But when they finally decided to carve out a fairer portion for themselves, this had a tremendous effect on public workers all over the country," Hansen said. Cites Teachers' Strikes Hansen also listed strikes by teachers in Detroit and New York, strikes by social service workers in Los Angeles, and other instances of militancy elsewhere as reasons for the changes going on in CSEA. In addition, Hansen said Gov.

Reagan's Administration was responsible in part for the increasing agitation among state workers for a greater voice in the setting of their wages and working conditions. "The governor, didn't bother to have any discussions with people in the mental hygiene department, for Instance, when the decision was made to substantially cut down employment there," Hansen said. Thomas Jordan, CSEA legal counsel, said "Dedicated and hard work-1 ing employes of the state have not yet felt compelled to resort to the strike weapon. "Yet even the most dedicated men and women are becoming increasingly disturbed over unilateral determinations made after a minimum of consideration and no face to face negotiations." One SCEA member, who is critical of the CSEA leadership, agreed with Hansen on the issue of Reagan, saying: 'Situation Polarized' "Gov. Reagan has polarized the situation.

It would have taken us another five years to reach the stage of militancy we have now achieved as a result of Reagan," he said. Jordan said government invokes its "sovereignty rights" as an excuse to take unilateral action regardless of the justice of such action. The state just says it is "sover- eign," and no debate is expected, he said. Jordan, like most union leaders, is critical of the widespread attention given to the question of strikes by public workers. The real issue, he said, is the apparent lack of interest in developing an orderly system for resolving disputes and giving public employes a voice on matters affecting their jobs.

"I've got news for the governor. As far as state employes are concerned, the future cannot be determined by the past," Jordan said. But statements from Hansen and Jordan are ridiculed by union leaders who say the CSEA leadership is only putting on a veneer of militancy to placate CSEA members who are turning to other organizations for help. CSEA recently proposed that the state set up an identifiable management" council in state government to bargain with employe organizations elected by secret ballot. Overall, it is clear that CSEA is in the throes of a major change in policies, and those changes reflect a broader change of attitudes among public employes around the nation, employes who now number 11.5 million at all levels of government and who make up more than 15 of the nation's work force.

of 'Dropouts' By chance, they heard of the center and enrolled her there, after its psychologists had determined that she was educable. Jane is now receiving special training to help her cope with her limited vision and does work on the ninth-grade level. Not all children are as bright as Jane or respond as quickly as she did, but the center is able to adjust its services to meet a variety of needs. Daily contact with the students' parents, plus weekly written reports of activities, plays an important role in educating families to accept handicaps and work to overcome them. Tests Are Administered In the four ungraded classrooms.

California Achievement Tests are administered twice a semester and lesson plans are adjusted accordingly. Sociograms are also administered to determine the children's social progress. The center operates on a year-round basis. Tuition is $150 a month, and a number of scholarships are available in cases where financial assistance is necessary. Because officials estimate that there are 20,000 emotionally disturbed or brain-damaged children in California, the number of applications far exceeds the number of spaces available.

The center has found it has outgrown its present facilities and needs funds to build a workshop, a psycho-drama stage and individual cottages for temporary live-in quarters. Although the center is cramped, Dr. Lewis L. Austad, its founder and clinical director, reports that its techniques have proven most successful. In recent years, the turnov-' er at the school has reached 70- with most students "dropping out" to the public schools.

While school administrators worry most these days about keeping their students in class and reducing the number of dropouts, an unusual school in the San Fernando Valley is delighted to see its students leave. But dropouts at the California Educational Center, a nonprofit institution for emotionally disturbed children, are unlike dropouts anywhere else. Once children respond satisfactorily to the school's carefully integrated program of therapy and academics, designed and directed by trained psychologists, they drop out and are transferred to the public schools. The center, housed in a modest one-story building converted from residences on Magnolia has enrolled 63 students, ranging in age from, six to. 18, for the current semester.

For most of these children, the center was the end of the line. Although many have IQs considerably higher than average, they are all troubled with brain damage, cerebral palsy or pre-natal injuries that make the normal school routine impossible for them. Most have bounced from school to school. Girl Has High IQ Jane, a 10 -year -old sunny -faced girl with long blonde hair and an eager smile, is typical of children at the center. She was born with a brilliant mind (IQ 145), but because her eyes were scarred during her premature birth, Jane is almost blind.

Frustrated and well aware of her problem because of her superior intelligence, Jane became unruly and resentful, a renegade from public schools. Her worried parents took her from doctor to doctor, from clinic to clinic, from school to school. "Frankly, I can hardly wait to retire so I can get in on the cushy end of the military-industrial complex." Ctrtoon by FlJdieW.