With a Grain of Salt By FRANK MOORE Redlands, Calif. Friday, January 17,1975- 12 Brown drops opposition to Governor's mansion For decades California has needed a new Governor's mansion. No one was ever able to get one built until Ronald Reagan made a celebrated cause of it He actually carried the project right up to the ready-for- construction stage. Although Edmund G. Brown, Jr., as a candidate for Governor, scorned the proposed mansion, as a "Taj Mahal", and vowed that he would never live in it, he has now taken a more responsible course toward the whole subject First off, he has not carried through on his earlier, casual suggestion that the old f iretrap mansion on a busy street is a fine place for a Governor to live. Well, that isn't what Nancy Reagan found when she lived there. She wouldn't stand for it another day. The Reagans moved elsewhere. So, Gov. Brown has not messed things up by trying to prove the untruth that the old house is a fine home—just old, that's all. Secondly, he has faced up to the reality that Reagan advanced the project to the point where it would be ridiculous to back out The cancellation cost would be enormous. Nothing would have been built for the money. So, he is not going to try to block construction. Although no comment from him is required, the fact is that his personal housing requirements are different from those of any other Governor of modern times. He is the rare—if not unique—exception to the rule that the Governor of California is a married maa Usually, a Governor and his wife have one or more children living with them. The Governors and the first ladies of the past have construed it to be part of their official duty to entertain at home. Governor and Mrs. Edmund Brown, Sr., for example held dinners to which they invited sizable numbers of Assemblymen and Senators, both Democrats , and Republicans. In addition to all the Californians a Governor wishes to entertain, there are many VIP's who come to this state on one mission or another. The house that Ronald Reagan planned anticipates the social functions that have been given in the past By choosing to live in an apartment in the heart of Downtown Sacramento, Governor Brown will leave the new mansion unoccupied when it is completed Admittedly, it may prove to be an embarrassment as long as there is no gubernatorial family to live in it That could be for about six years (allowing two for construction) if Governor Brown is reelected in 1978. Yet, for all of this, one weakness must be recognized in the pro-mansion case. Brown brings to Sacramento an entirely new personal style. He has the notion that a Governor can avoid a social life in which he associates primarily with the elite of government, business and the professions. On the contrary, he alleges that a Governor can somehow associate mainly with Tom, Dick and Mary. He can live in the mainstream of the life of the people, maintaining a feel for public opinioa This is an untested theory. If Brown can pull it off, then he will have invented a lifestyle in which there is no place for a fine mansion for him or for any successor who copies him. The pay-off Ed Hales, who has been a member of the City Planning Commission for twenty-five years, was again re-elected chairman at the 1975. organizational meeting. It is commonplace to say that this is a thankless job. Members of the Commission take a lot of heat from people who disagree with them. They do not get paid, a plight that might make a member feel sorry for himself, looking to the$75-a-day plus generous expense account claims by members of the County Commissioa When that is all said there is one reward that is overlooked. That is the satisfaction that Hales can take in watching the long years of planning strongly influence the development of the city in beneficial ways. One of the strongest principles of the Redlands Planning Commission has been to maintain a strong core at the heart of town. This has envisioned the center as an inter-acting seat of government, business, finance and culture. As Chairman Hales begins 1975, the pay-off of city planning becomes visible to everyone. It will blossom into a Donwntown renaissance as the Redlands Mall rises and the ripple effect stimulates further building in the central city. The Newsreel As a slogan, "Survive in Seventy-five" is catchy but it really isn't a trumpet summons to high adventure. The United Nations has now taken on the task of deciding how much work husbands should do around the house. Why doesn't it stick to easy problems like world peace? Pledging a speedy investigation of the CIA, Nelson Rockefeller says you can do anything in 90 days if you try. It is a new concept in political circles, as well as obstetrical. A leading constitutional scholar is all too often a politician nobody can think of anything else to say about Some people don't like the government making notes about their political opinions. On the other hand, there is a certain comfort in knowing that somebody is paying attention. Second In a aeries In presenting their credentials to predict the catastrophic Los Angeles earthquake of 1982, John R. Gribbin and Stephen Plagemann seek to rub off on themselves a bit of lustre from Sir Fred Hoyle, the great astronomer. The jacket blurb on "The Jupiter Effect" puts it this way: "Plagemann, a physics major at the University of California at Berkeley, went on to receive his doctorate in 1971 at Cambridge University, where he worked .. . under the eminent astronomer, Sir Fred Hoyle." When talking with Hoyle last Friday, I asked him about the authors. He was abrupt and brief: "Among our weaker students," he declared. Then how about their theory that the planets — especially Jupiter — are conducive to those sunspota, a link to the earthquake? "It was an old speculation that Jupiter might be connected with sunspota," Hoyle said, "because the period of Jupiter'c going around the sun is almost exactly the same as the 11-year sunspot cycle. Whether sunspota are connected with earth's weather is another matter. But it makes no difference if the planets are all on one side of the sun, "When I was a young student I got quite excited about Jupiter and sunspota. But I found it doesn't work out. It looks like the same period but it really isn't." What about triggers in nature? The subtitle of the book is: "The Planets as Triggers of Devastating Earthquakes." "Yes, there are triggers in the solar system, such as the effect of Io (a Jupiter moon) on the bursts of Jupiter, which are very mysterious. "But in predicting an earthquake in California, they are just trying to sell their book. They know about that book, 'The Late Great State of California.' That was a good seller, wasn't it? "I would go along with George Abell (UCLA astronomer) that the book is a kind of a hoax." "The Jupiter Effect" caused Senator Frank E. Moss of Utah to ask NASA to see how plausible the theory is. He is chairman of Aeronautical and Space Sciences. A member of the committee staff asked various astronomers about "The Jupiter Effect." He said most of them feel that the chain of events has a low probability of occurrence, but none would positively declare it impossible. In reporting this, Science News commented: "The idea is the sort of thing that cultists like to take in their teeth and run with, and NASA already has trouble enough with cultists. "On the other hand, if the scenario is acted out, NASA would not want to be caught with its expertise down on that great gettin'-up morning in 1982." If NASA is hesitant for fear of getting caught with its expertise down, Edward K. L. Upton of the Griffith Observatory, Los Angeles, has no such hesitancy. Writing in "The Griffith Observer" he captions his article, "The Great Earthquake Hoax." He is plainly so mad, so put out, with Gribbin and Plagemann that he fights to hold back bad names. "The puzzle is this," he declares. "The authors come before us with credentials as bona fide members of the scientific establishment. One is connected with NASA and the other with a prestigious scientific journal ("Nature"). "Persons with those connections do not ordinarily jump into the water and act like fish. Yet the gaping holes in the theory, the casual attitude toward evidence, and the sensationalism of the predictions are of the kind that has always been associated with the realm of pseudo- science. "Can these authors possibly believe what they have written? Can they be as naive as they sound? Or is it a great hoax designed solely to sell books to a gullible public by playing on the legitimate fears of earthquakes." After stating that the theory of "The Jupiter Effect" consists of a long chain of hypotheses, Upton lists them and says: "There is not one solid link in the entire Gribbin- Plagemann chain. One or two links are supported by some scattered evidence that perhaps renders them plausible, but others are so outlandish that ordinary adjectives fail to describe them. "The combined chain, as a basis for predicting earthquakes, has the same credibility as a reading of tea leaves." Upton dissects the links in the chain but he might have satisfied himself with the very first one. The Gribbin- Plagemann theory all hangs on an extremely rare "super- conjunction with all nine planets in a line on the same side of the sun." "The so-called grand alignment of the planets in 1982 is actually a spread of 100 degrees of the ecliptic (sun path)," Upton declares. "This is an alignment only in the sense that the spread is usually much greater than 100 degrees." What does he know By NORTON MOCKRIDGE Robert Todhunter of Columbus, Ohio, tells me one I like, and I've gotta get it to you pronto: A man calls his bookie and asks: "Are there any basketball games tonight?" "Ten," says the bookie, and he names them. The man bets on all 10 and loses every one. The following day he calls, and bets on 12. Again he loses all of them. The third day he calls the bookie, learns there are eight games, makes his bets, and loses still another time! A few days later, the man calls the bookie again (he probably borrowed some dough), and he asks: "What basketball games are there tonight?" "None," says the bookie. "But I have seven hockey games coming up." "No way!" cries the man. "What do I know about hockey?" William E. Hoerger of Euclid, Ohio, says that the management of the newly opened Park Centre Theater, a 23-story apartment and shopping complex in downtown Cleveland, should get a prize for something or other in its choice of the first movie it showed. The film was — "The Towering Inferno!" Mrs. Charles V. Demong of Denver tells me that it's richly rewarding to let your fingers thumb through the Yellow Pages of the phone directory there. "On Page 1106, for exam ple," she says, "the Western Orthopedic Appliances Co. has this intriguing advice: " 'See our ad under Artificial Limps.' " The Claremont Diner in Verona, N.J. (which has a huge restaurant behind the original diner) has been in business like about 21 years and it's always been open, night and day. The original owner, Morris Bauman, died recently and the 155 members of the staff all wanted to go to his funeral, of course. It was decided to close up the place so everybody could attend. As the last member filed out, the manager said: "Okay, let's lock it up." That stumped everybody. Because there wasn't any key! And, I guess, there never HAD been a key in all those 21 years! They had to call a locksmith and have him make a key before everybody could go to the funeral! Not far from the Claremont, incidentally, is the castle of my old friend, Gregory Di Leo, proprietor of the Great Notch Inn, Little Falls, N.J. Gregory is noted for two things: He can (and frequently does) make a sound like a steam locomotive whistling as it roars into a station (this is a fine sound to brighten a dullish cocktail party), and he gets a Christmas card every year from his old coworkers at the Erie Railroad office in Cleveland. Every year since — would you believe? — 1929! Redlands Yesterdays FIVE YEARS AGO Temperatures—Highest 61, lowest 50. Redlands officials expect little trouble complying with an edict addressed Friday to five Santa Ana river cities requiring that tough sewer water standards be met by June. 1. Redlands will get little chance to dry out following the most recent two-day storm which deposited another .40 inches of precipitation on the city if weather forecasters are correct. New York advertising executive Dan Seymour will give the dedication speech for Johnston College of the University of Redlands Tuesday. TENYEARSAGO Temperatures—Highest 81, lowest 49. A recommendation that Redlands home and apartment dwellers be charged an extra 40 cents a month for the privilege of using city sewers will be submitted to the City Council tomorrow. Mrs. Blanche Mitchell, former president of the Redlands Democratic Club, was in Washington, D. C. today to attend this week's inauguration ceremonies. Dr. Richard H. Winter joins the Beaver Medical Clinic in general practice. FIFTEEN YEARS AGO Temperatures—Highest 56, lowest 32. Shirley Dorsey reigns as queen of RHS Winter Ball as 500 students, faculty members and parents witness crowning Saturday evening. Nearly 1,200 pupils or one- seventh of total enrollment of the Redlands public schools, are absent today as the flu epidemic continues. Minute Pulpit "Let your light so shine before men, that they may see your good works and give glory to your Father who is in heaven." —Matthew 5:16. "The smallest actual good is better than the most magnificent promise of impossibilities." —Thomas Macaulay — English historian. Timely Quotes "If the Democrats claim a mandate for something, it will be for something that doesn't exist. The voters don't expect the Democrats to solve anything. In fact, they don't expect to do very much about problems anymore. It's just that they're going to punish the Republicans." —Democratic pollster Pat Caddell on upcoming elections. Israel under internal stress By HENRY J. TAYLOR Israel Foreign Minister Yigal Allon has privately told Secretary of State Henry A. Kissinger what news reports hint at but fail to fully disclose: His country is under internal attack. Moreover, Mr. Allon sees the threat of worse to come. The Arab world's November 1974 Rabat declaration gave the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) responsibility of any area of the West Bank of the Jordan River and the Gaza Strip that Israel might relinquish. Israel seized these areas in 1967 and has never given them back. The Palestinians total 2.78 million. On the West Bank, the Gaza Strip, the Sinai Peninsula taken from Egypt, and elsewhere, a million Palestinians are under Israel rule. Mr. Allon told Mr. Kissinger that current Palestinian disturbances in Israel actually began in August last year. The Jerusalem government, he stated, imprisoned 690 West Bank and Jerusalem Arabs. It always had contended that resistance groups were Palestinians who infiltrated across the Syrian and Lebanon borders. But these were West Bank and Jerusalem Arabs. Mr. Allon said the ringleaders belong to the Palestine National Front (PNF), a new and powerful movement in the areas Israel seized and still holds — the first serious resistance group since Israel occupied the territory — and affiliated, as well, with the PLO. Israel's foreign minister said this development is superimposed on a second development: the expansion of a Syrian spy ring and sabotage network, first detected in 1972, which includes Israeli Jews. Mr. Allon referred to still a' third development: a "drift- back" of European Jews to Europe, especially to France, and most notably young people with special talents and training — something of a "brain drain" out of Israel back to Europe. Then Mr. Allon detailed to Mr. Kissinger a fourth development: a swelling exodus of Arab-world Jews into Israel. The largest exodus is from Morocco. It had the Arab world's largest Jewish community — 300,000 Sephardic Oriental Jews (so-called Arab Jews) — when Morocco gained independence from France. France, in turn, has the Berry's World largest Jewish community in Western Europe: 535,000. This strong Jewish presence in France gave the Arab Jews in Morocco much French political and other protection. But the bloody July 10, 1971, uprising, against friendly King Hassan at his Skirit Palace profoundly frightened all Moroccan Jews and other events expanded the exodus elsewhere throughout the Arab world. Mr. Allon said that Morocco's 300,000 Jews have now dwindled to less than 30,000. Of these, two-thirds live in the single city of Casablanca. In Lebanon, all but about 6,000 have left. Neighboring Iraq had 120,000 Jews in 1946. It has only 400 today. Less than 10,000 Jews remain in Moslem countries most closely related to Israel conflicts. Egypt, Lebanon, Libya and Syria alone have 308,000 fewer Jews than 29 years ago. Israelis describe Eastern European Jews who are already there as Ashkenazim. They are chiefly the children of parents born within a 600-mile radius of the Minsk-Pinsk region of Russia. And Ashkenazim dominate the political power. In Israel, the Arab Jews are called Sephardim — Mr. Allon said 90 per cent come from North African countries — and they now actually outnumber the European Jews in Israel. This population, he said, is growing highly explosive. The Israel Knesset (parliament) has 120 members. There are only 18 Sephardim in it. They hold only three per cent of the top civil service positions. About 90 per cent of Israel's important government, military and industrial positions are held by European Jews. Sephardim comprise nearly 70 per cent of the primary school enrollment, but only four per cent of the university graduates. The Sephardim are badly prepared to live in Israel's technological society. Many remain poverty stricken. And — quoting the Yiddish word "gazunting," which means to swindle someone — they claim that there is in Israel a caste- class social order which makes them future-starved, second- class citizens. With these four largely unrevealed developments and others, Israel's inflation, political turbulence, outside problems, etc., Mr. Allon impressed Mr. Kissinger as building a stockade and pulling up the wagons around a tragically vulnerable Israel. Welfare reform plan goes too far By RONALD REAGAN © 1975 bv NEA Inc ' "I hope your little brother isn't with the CIA. because what he's doing would be illegal!" Lately in Washington there has been talk about the nation's welfare system being "a mess," that it should be scrapped and replaced by a new, simpler plan, the Income Supplement Program. Like the Family Assistance Plan (FAP) which died in the 92nd Congress, ISP would radically alter the basic concept of welfare in the United States. Historically, welfare has been granted on the basis of need. ISP would substitute the concept of a guaranteed minimum income, regardless of need. The proponents of ISP want it to replace food stamps, Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) and Supplementary Security Income (SSI), a program for the aged, blind and disabled. Unaccountably, the champions of the new scheme in the U. S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare are putting all their reform eggs into the ISP basket, dismissing out-of-hand case load reform of existing programs, such as the reforms which have resulted in nearly a 400,000 drop in the welfare rolls in California since 1971. Other states adopting similar reforms are now experiencing reductions, too. Not all details of the ISP proposal have been released but those that have raise questions and problems. For example: —ISP would double the number of persons receiving cash handouts and would sharply reduce the number of taxpayers shouldering the total burden of government. —It would • cost approximately $26 billion more per year than current programs. It • would "federalize" welfare at a time when federal takeover of aid to five million blind, aged and disabled has proved to be a conspicuous failure. It is hard to imagine how the federal government could manage the ISP program, with some 41 million recipients, with any degree of efficiency. It has also been proposed to have the Internal Revenue Service handle the ISP grants, possibly in the hope of merchandising the program to the taxpayers better. —Some states now pay greater benefits than those proposed under ISP. If these states don't make supplements, then the truly needy would suffer cuts in benefits from ISP. —"Simplification" is a loaded word when it comes to welfare. The easiest way to simplify welfare is to eliminate all eligibility standards and checking and go to welfare-by- affirmation. The experience of California and other states has been that improved eligibility checking results in reduced welfare rolls. The savings can go, at least in part, into greater benefits for the needy remaining. A work requirement provision attached to the ISP scheme hasn't much likelihood of surviving. It is well known that many on the HEW staff oppose it. Proponents rest the case for ISP ultimately on getting Congress' agreement to eliminate all other welfare programs. Given Congress' inclinations in recent years, it is difficult to imagine the solons dropping all existing programs to take up ISP or refraining from passing on additional benefits to the new scheme. Federal reform is still badly needed in one area of welfare, food stamps. This program, originally designed to distribute agricultural surpluses to the needy, has been running out of control. Counterfeiting and theft are chronic problems; eligibility standards are minimal (for example, an able-bodied college student can get food stamps even though his parents support him and his father earns $100,000 a year); and adminis'' 'tive red tape snarls the program. Improved security, administration and eligibility standards and checking could result in savings to the taxpayers without depriving the needy of this welfare supplement.
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