St. Louis Post-Dispatch from St. Louis, Missouri • Page 44

BUSINESS ST. LOUIS POST-DISPATCH FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 1 5, 1 989 7C Retail Sales Autos Lift August Retail Sales ANDREW LECKEY Monthly percent change, adjusted for seasonal and trading day differences. 2.0 SUCCESSFUL INVESTING Buying On Fundamentals CariVIinimize The Worry rl If a IIHOQ 1 Up 0.7 i i i i i i i i i i i 1989, Reuters News Service WASHINGTON A jump in automobile sales pushed up retail sales by 0.7 percent in August, the Commerce Department said Thursday, pointing toward moderate economic growth. The rise in auto sales, propelled by Detroit's financing incentives, was the largest in 19 months. Building materials sales, boosted by a summer rebound in the housing industry, also rose sharply.

The department estimated retailers in August had a seasonally adjusted $144.3 billion in sales, compared with $143.3 billion in July. But excluding the volatile automobile sector, retail sales rose only 0.2 percent, reflecting the moderate underlying tone of consumer spending. Auto sales may not help much in September to fuel growth. The Detroit automakers said Wednesday that sales fell 2.8 percent in the first 10 move lower, but there's no reason to do anything now," Ratajczak said. Other economic reports, such as robust employment growth last month, showed the expansion was on course for the "soft landing" scenario of slow growth and subdued inflation sought by the Fed.

A more complete economic picture will be drawn by Friday when the wholesale price, industrial production, and trade reports are released. Retail sales gains were led by autos, which jumped 2.6 percent, building on a 1.7 percent gain in the prior month. Building materials sales also increased 2.2 percent, reversing an 0.2 percent fall in July. Clothing and drug stores sales rose during the month, although department and grocery stores registered a decline. Gas station sales also fell by a sharp 1.5 percent, reflecting lower gasoline prices.

1.0 SONDJ FMAMJ JA Percent change Aug. 1989 Auto dealers 2.6 Furniture, furnishings 1.6 Durable goods 2.4 Non-durable goods SOURCE: Census Bureau Knight-Ridder Tribune News Nursing Home Operator Files For Bankruptcy KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) A Kansas City company that operates 22 nursing homes in five states filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection Wednesday, listing $92 million in debts and 1,600 unsecured creditors. First Humanics which employs about 2,700 people, said in documents filed in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Kansas City that the Chapter 11 filing was designed to avert foreclosure actions.

Among the creditors threatening foreclose was South Side National Bank of St. Louis, which is trustee for bondholders who financed a nursing home in Racine, Wis. First Humanics, a non-profit organization, said it had defaulted on interest and other payments totaling more than $80 million. That debt was accumulated in the company's acquisition of nursing homes and health-care centers in Illinois, Indiana, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. The company does not operate nursing homes in Missouri.

None of its 14 Illinois homes are in the Metro East area. A Chapter 11 filing allows a trou CivI AP The diverge opinions about the likely course of the U.S. economy are enough to drive any investor batty. As foiks-warily anticipate an overduestock market correction or fret abdut the possibility of recession, each day's government data supplies potential trauma. The solution for investors is to find companies and stocks likely to excel Whether the economy is up or dowr.

That, of course, is a task easier said than done. "Recession-resistant stocks have done well to 1989, and, while some may slip back, there are still opportunities said Louis Navallier, editor of the MPT Review newsletter, P.O. Box 5695, Incline Village, Nev. 894581: "The trick is to select companies with ongoing earnings growth, but comparatively low stock price compared to current and potential (The prtee-to-earnings ratio, or PE, of the-stock of most established companies is between 10 and 20, 'although some are lower or higher.) Gene Walden, author of the book "The 100 Best Stocks to Own in America, believes it's important to track a firm's years of con-secutiveesfrhings gains. "Look' for consistency of performance inall economic environments," advjsed Walden.

"While the stock market has a more stable two years ago, it's still at a high level and may take a dip." Navallier, his model portfolio up 30 percent this year, says the following stocks are likely to do well, no matter what the economy does: United Telecom (NYSE). Telecommunications keeps growing, and this parent company of U.S. Sprinf keeps capturing market share. The stock, up 85 percent in value this year, remains reasonably priced. The current price is 13.7 times this year's earnings and only six times next year's earnings, Ross Stores (OTC).

This retailer takesuinsold inventory from big department stores and discounts it. Up 100 percent in value this year, this stock isn't as cyclical as most retailers'. The PE is 16 based on this year's earnings, but only 12 based on next year's. McCormick Co. (OTC).

Known for its pepper and other spices, the company's sales are steady. With sales up just 2.4 percent, earnings are up 400 percent, proof of shrewd management. The Aragon From page five of the new firm, Lance Hecker, Dave iloest and Vicki Savala, contributed the necessary capital. The company starts with no-debt, he said. the Aragon Cos.

did not take back any notes," Miller quipped. Consulting Group has 18 Jull-time employees, he said, and nual sales run $2 million to $5 million. Pat Biggerstaff, who was president of the sales development subsidiary of Aragon, are the "owners otSaffis Development Associates, Inc. stock price is up 44 percent. PE is 7, or four times next year's earnings.

Stewart Stevenson (OTC). The company makes turbine systems used in power generating, a non-cyclical business and a good niche. The stock's up 100 percent this year and, while earnings are slowing, it remains a fair value. PE is 15, or 12 times next year's earnings. FHP International Corp.

(OTC). It is the least-costly stock among health maintenance organizations because it's had problems. Formerly non-profit but now for-profit, FHP was sued by the California attorney general. He tried to get the company to give more money to charity in a one-time lump sum than it originally had been required to give when it went for-profit. While the suit was unsuccessful, another one may be filed.

FHP stock, riskier than the other choices, is up 236 percent this year. PE is 22, or 16 times next year's earnings. Walden, whose new book is published by Chicago-based Longman Financial Services Publishing, offers these steady picks: Kellogg Co. (NYSE). Everybody's got to eat.

This packaged-food company, which has had 37 consecutive years of record earnings, may be the best bet to shrug off recession. While a PE of 19 seems high, it's not overpriced historically. Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE). A recession won't make people stop drinking beer.

Anheuser-Busch holds 43 percent of the market. The company has had 12 consecutive years of earnings gains, and should benefit from an industry shakeout. PE of 16 is a little high, but so are those of many others. Abbott Labs (NYSE). Medical products won't be affected by an economic downturn, and this respected 101-year-old company has enjoyed 18 consecutive years of record earnings.

PE is 17. Deluxe Corp. (NYSE). Americans continue to write checks. This printer of bank checks, holding 52 percent of that market, has turned in 36 years of record earnings.

It also produces business forms. PE is 19. Loews Corp. (NYSE). Despite adverse publicity about smoking, this diversified tobacco company with the Newport, Old Gold, Kent and True brands has had 14 consecutive years of stock gains.

It also owns pieces of CNA Financial and CBS Inc. Its PE is 9. Tribune Media Services Inc. The eight employees include Bill Shewman, Scott Meyer and Bob Zeitinger. Shewman said the new company also bought some office furniture from Boatmen's.

Another company emerging from the ashes of Aragon expects to open Oct. 2. Four former employees of Media Solutions, a media buying company, have started a new firm called Dicom Inc. Gary Emmer, former president of Media Solutions, said his group had the financial backing it needed and was looking at office space. Emmer's partners are Athalia Howell, John McGuigan and Dave Travers.

Felco has 6,000 cars and light trucks on lease throughout the country. In addition to its headquarters in St. Louis, the company has branches in Portland, Seattle; Tucson, Omaha, and Boise, Idaho. Sli Doily Lit Nel PE hdt Hi lo Tin Chg 418 15') I2S4- 29 106 38 18 16 250 1714 17H Sh hdi Slock Div PE Saatchi 87t 236 15 SabnR l.35t 10 49 13 SlodSc 10 116 15 SattKkl .36 24 1692 32 SahCai 1.12 75 402 9 Clayton Group Plans To Buy Safety Equipment Manufacturer Reebok's $170 sneakers containing an air pump. Pumped-Up Reebok Sneakers To Sell For Sky-High $170 CANTON, Mass.

(AP) Reebok International is hoping that customers will get all pumped up about their new sneakers the shoes can be inflated with air. The new sneakers have built-in pumps and will sell for 1 70 a pair. "The wearer will be able to inflate the shoe using a pump on the tongue of the shoe, making it fit round the wearer's foot perfectly," Reebok said. "Before removing the shoe, the wearer must release the air, using a special valve on the heel." Kate Burnham, spokeswoman for Reebok, said air can be let out of the sneakers gradually, adjusting the fit if ankles swell during a game. "It creates a totally adjustable kind of shoe with support around the ankle," she said.

The sneakers, called "The Pump," are scheduled to go on sale in November. The first ones will be designed for basketball players, but less expensive versions will be offered next year. days of September. "On the face of it, we've got a slowdown in consumer spending," said Donald Ratajczak, director of forcast-ing at Georgia State University. Consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of economic activity.

But economists caution the monthly retail sales report can often be erratic. The department cut its estimate of July retail sales sharply to show only an 0.5 percent increase, instead of the 0.9 percent rise previously reported. "I'm not calling it a weak consumer report, but slightly weaker than expected," said economist Steven Gallagher at Kidder Peabody Co. Economists said the rise in retail sales showed consumer spending could still fuel moderate economic growth, but further weakness could prompt the Federal Reserve Board to eventually lower interest rates. "I still think the Fed is going to bled company to reorganize its debts free from the threat of lawsuits by creditors.

Company attorneys said they expected First Humanics to reach an agreement with the five banks that threatened foreclosure. First Humanics has assets of $68.4 million, according to court documents. The company's debts were listed at $92.3 million, of which about $86 million was secured. The company's 1,600 unsecured creditors are owed more than $6.4 million, court documents show. The bankruptcy filing was prompted by the threat of foreclosure on Westview Health Care Center in Racine, Wis.

It faces charges by state and federal officials that it provided inadequate care to patients. First Humanics bought the Wisconsin home in 1988 for $6.85 million. South Side National Bank, Bank One of Indianapolis and other banks threatened to foreclose on the Racine center unless First Humanics paid off its loans. Jim Gallagher of the Post-Dispatch staff provided some information for this story. trolled by Group.

Thermadyne makes welding and cutting products and accessories. Last November, Thermadyne bought Airgas cylinder manufacturing business, U.S. Cylinders Inc. of Citronelle, Ala. Donaldson, Lufkin Jenrette an investment banking firm, will help arrange financing for the Jackson Products acquisition.

Group was formed earlier this year by local business executive James M. Mills and the Dallas investment banking firm Haas Partners. It said it intended to acquire medium and large industrial and commercial companies. Mills is chairman of Group and of Thermadyne. He also will become chairman of Jackson Products when the transaction is completed.

On Bakery Sale bergh Boulevard. Paul Bernish, a Kroger spokesman, declined to name the potential buyer. Kroger mentioned the talks on Gateway and Heartland Farms Dairy in an announcement on the sale of nine other manufacturing businesses. Kroger had announced in January plans to sell 1 1 businesses, including the St. Louis bakery and dairy.

Kroger said after-tax proceeds from the sale of all 1 1 plants should be about $260 million. The company said it had a letter of intent to sell eight businesses to a company to be formed by Eli S. Jacobs of New York and Engles Capital Corp. of Dallas. Borden Inc.

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of Radnor, Pa. Jackson's products include welding helmets, hard hats, face shields, goggles, prescription and non-prescription safety glasses and hearing protectors. The company is expected to have about $40 million in revenue in 1989. Group formed a new corporation, Jackson Acquisition to handle the acquisition. Also participating in the acquisition is Thermadyne Industries another company con Talks Resume Kroger Co.

said it has resumed talks with Alpha Baking Co. of Chicago on the sale of its Gateway Baking 1008 South Spring Avenue. Alpha had called off talks on buying the bakery late last month after two unions at the plant rejected proposed contracts with Alpha. Alpha had asked for a one-year moratorium on raises and for more flexibility on scheduling workers. Alpha Baking officials were out of town and could not be reached for comment on Kroger's statement, Kroger also said it is negotiating with a potential buyer for its Heartland Farms Dairy, 6040 North Lind Doily bl Net Hi lo Trn Chg Sis Doily hdi Hi Lo In Net Trn Chg Stock Div PE The suit asks for more than $50,000 in damages and accuses Alamo Broadcasting of fraud and breach of contract.

It said the company deceived River City into disclosing its plans to make the San Antonio station profitable. KABB has been a "consistent money loser," the suit says. River City Television Partners announced in May that it had signed an agreement to buy KABB, an independent station started up about 20 months ago. River City is a unit of Atlantic Broadcasting. The principals of Atlantic are Marcus and Barry Baker, both former executives of Koplar Communications, which owns and operates KPLR-TV here.

Connecticut Bank Buys Felco Autolease River City Television Partners, which this month bought KDNL-TV, Channel 30 in St. Louis, filed suit Thursday against a company it accuses of balking on a deal to sell a television station in San Antonio, Texas. The suit, filed in U.S. District Court, says Alamo Broadcasting Corp. has failed to carry through its agreement to sell KABB-TV, Channel 29 in San Antonio, to River City Television Partners.

Larry Marcus, chief financial officer of the St. Louis partnership, said River City has a contract to buy KABB for $11.5 million. An Alamo Broadcasting official in Houston was unavailable for comment Thursday. Sh Doily PE hds Hi lo 1st Net Tin Chg Sis hds Stock PE 20 140 150 17 241 101586 764 428 3 19 1601 25 787 12 744 8 22 13 799 IS 5 897 19 660 8 19 693 457 2 1 92 92 101 101 16 15 41 40 17 16 24 23 30 57 41 40 29. 28 IS 15 17 17 24 24 23 12 II 29 44 44 5 1 92- 101 1 15 41 16- 23- 30 S6-l 41 29 15- 17- 24- ') 23')- 12 29- 44'- 5- UWR .81 Unitrde Umvar .60 UnvlCp 140 UnvFd 18 UnvHR 148 UMatch UnvMed 161 UnWd ol Unocal 1 Upiohn .68 USACal 1 USLIFE 140 USLF PT3.33 UsUeF .96 UtUiCo 144 UNCO 012 44 UtiICo pr2 .61 UWCo orl.77 19 72 95 46 14 10 12 522 155987 13 15 41 91 456 I 14 7135 1113012 13 62 11 482 4 17 10 166 4 1 14 16 7 33 37 34 14 6 2 7 56 37 9 46 36 9 20 25 27 21 Doily Hi Franklin Equity Leasing which loes business as Felco Autolease, has agreed to the firm to Society for Savings Bancorp a banking company in Hartford, Conn.

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