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winter weather. But as a data guy, I know that the snow is both inevitable and fairly predictable. And this year, I’m sorry to inform you, it’s right on time. A ccording to the Nat ional Weather Service, t he average date on which we first see snow flakes in Rochester is Oct. 23. Last year, we didn’t see any of the white stuff until Nov. 1. October had been relatively balmy, with the temperature roaring up to 80 degrees o n the 28th ... summer’s l ast, desperate gasp. Four d ays later, there where s pecks of white in the air. By Nov. 17, there was an i nch of snow on the g round. T he days got shorter and the nights got colder, just as they do at the same time every year. So it goes. The transition from fall to winter sometimes seems gradual, sometimes it’s abrupt. But the snow almost always ar- r ives during the last two w eeks of October or the f irst week of November. Over the last 10 years, it has come as early as Oct. 14 (in 2009) and as late as Nov. 10 (in 2005). The other two snow milestones come in fairly quick succession. Typically, about two weeks after the first visible snow f lakes we’ll have the first a ccumulation of snow — e nough to cover the tops o f the grass or perhaps make you brush off your windshield in the morning. And then about two weeks later, usually around Nov. 20, will be t he first time that there’s a n inch of snow on the g round. T here are always extremes. Back in 1956 there were snow flurries blowing through the air on Sept. 20. In 2006, there was snow on the ground on Oct. 12. Too early on both counts, as far as I’m concerned. At the other extreme was the fall of 1948, when Rochester didn’t have any measurable snowfall u ntil Dec. 10. The weather almanac will also show that at the start of December in 1982, we had back-to-back days where the temperature was in the 70s. Meteorologists and climate scientists like to m ake note of those unusual cases, but the rest of us l ive in the averages. That’s where we are now as far as the arrival of snow. I f you’ve been in Rochester long enough, it’s natural to be pessimistic about the prospect of the winter that looms ahead. H eck, if you lived t hrough the brutal, unrelenting cold of last February, there’s ample reason to wish for a few more days when you can l eave the house without a j acket, one more weekend that’s warm enough and dry enough to spend some time outside and not feel compelled to go right b ack in. I can’t tell you today whether we’re in line for amoderate winter or another one that makes the soul weary, and I can’t p redict how many inches of snow we’ll see before it’s all over. All I can do is offer you this piece of advice: Brace yourself. Winter is coming. S LAHMAN@ Gannett.com First snow The table below shows the date of the first snowflakes each year. Year F lakes 2014Nov.1 2013Nov.8 2012 N ov.4 2 011 O ct.27 2 010Oct.22 2009Oct.14 2008 O ct.22 2 007 N ov.6 2 006Oct.12 2005Nov.10 Snow Continued from Page 1A Page14A Sunday,October18,2015 DemocratandChronicle. com DC-0000361532 1510 LYELL AVE. • ROCHESTER, NY WE ACCEPT ALL MAJOR CREDIT CARDS & EBT Natural Casing Zweigle Hot Dog-Red, White, or Pic Pac 1 lb pk $ 3.79 lb Colovita Potato Gnocchi 1 lb PK .99 ¢ ea Sal & Jerry Cookies -Including Lemon 1 lb $ 4 .99 ea. Anna Bella Pure Olive Oil 3 Ltr or Grapeseed Oil Gallons $ 9.99 ea Luigi Vitelli Whole Wheat Pasta 1 lb .99 ¢ ea Large Cannoli All Flavors Pk 6 $5.99 ea Bel Gioioso Sharp Provolone 1 lb average $ 5.99 lb Imp. Pecorino Romano Grated Cheese 5 lb @3.99 lb $ 19.95 bag USA Potato or Onions 5 lb bag .99 ¢ ea Grade “A” X-Large Eggs $ 1.69 doz Pede Bros Jumbo Square Cheese Ravioli 1 lb Pkg $ 1.99 ea Cirio Diced or Peeled Tomato 14 oz can .79 ¢ ea SPECIALS IN EFFECT 10/19/15 THROUGH 10/24/15 MON-FRI 9-5 SAT. 9-3 647-1985 1383W. RIDGE ROAD 30TH ANNIVERSARY SPECIALS 10 % OFF ANY REPAIR AFTER DIAGNOSIS Not valid with other offers or on : replace services. Exp 10/30/15 10 % OFF AC OR FURNACE CLEANING & INSPECTION Not valid with other offers or on : replace services. Exp 10/30/15 24 HR EMERGENCY SERVICE - YOUR HEATING & COOLING EXPERTS Your Heating and Cooling Experts Since 1985 Owner Andy Paris - Committed to 100% Customer Satisfaction! ParisHeatCool.com YOU CHOOSE!! $500 Off Installation OR 10 Year Parts & Labor Warranty OR 0% Financing Please Call For Details & Other Offers Exp. 10/30/15 WE SELL, SERVICE & INSTALL GAS FIREPLACES DC-0000361765 RG&E Furnace REBATES up to $355 A + THIS IS HOW OUR CUSTOMERS RATE US! NOPAYMENTSFOR12MONTHS! WINDOWS SIDING•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ochester’s favorite talking parakeet is back, this time joining other household pets on a national television special. Disco the parakeet, owned by the Bolton family of Penfield, started exercising his voice soon after the family b rought him home from a local pet s tore. Soon, the bird had over 100 p hrases under his wing, plus an adoring fan base on social media. The Boltons and their avian chatterbox were filmed for a BBC documentary called Pets: Wild at Heart last year, which looks at the natural animal behaviors pets exhibit while living among their human counterparts. PBS’s NATURE will air the documentary at 8 p.m. Wednesday on WXXI- T V, digital channel 21.1and Time Warn er Cable channels 11and 1221. D isco’s segment explores how para- k eets chatter for social company be- c ause of their natural tendency to gather and communicate in large flocks in the wild. Pet parakeets sometimes bond with t heir human family as their “flock,” and e nd up mimicking human sounds and v oices. S TADDEO@Gannett.com Chatty parakeet featured on TV SARAH TADDEO @SJTADDEO LAUREN PETRACCA/@LAURENPETRACCA/STAFF P HOTOGRAPHER Kevin Bolton, of Penfield, speaks with Disco t he parakeet.